🧬 ◆ Frontier — not yet benchmarked Ch.13 Life Sciences & Aging

Proteostasis

Proteostasis Collapse & Neurodegeneration · Neurodegeneration

Predict and reverse age-driven protein aggregation — the proteostasis collapse behind Alzheimer's and Parkinson's.

📋 The problem

Alzheimer's and Parkinson's track with the aggregation of proteins (Aβ, tau, α-synuclein) as the proteostasis network fails with age. Predicting and reversing aggregation kinetics could prevent or slow neurodegeneration.

🧗 Why it's a grand challenge

Aggregation is governed by coupled nucleation/elongation rates that are hard to measure in vivo; biomarkers lag pathology; clearance interventions have narrow therapeutic windows.

🧮 Governing model

dM/dt = 2 k_+ m(t) P(t);  dP/dt = k_n m^{nc} + k_2 m^{n2} M − k_clear·P

Nucleation–elongation aggregation master equation (Knowles): aggregate mass M(t) from primary/secondary nucleation and elongation rate constants; clearance by proteostasis network.

Current best: Knowles aggregation kinetics + anti-amyloid antibody trials

🧭 Possible approaches

  • Master-equation (Knowles) inversion to infer rate constants from biomarker trajectories
  • Neural-ODE emulators of aggregation / clearance
  • Design of proteostasis-boosting interventions

🎯 Build the benchmark

Predict the fractional aggregate-load reduction over time under a proteostasis-boosting intervention, within ~10%.

Metric: load_reduction — fractional aggregate-load reduction

Datasets to start from: CSF amyloid/tau longitudinal (ADNI-like), In-vitro aggregation kinetics panel, Proteostasis-network perturbation screen

☆ Build the benchmark — earn PWM →

🤖 Build an AI agent to solve it

An agent that fits a patient's aggregation kinetics and proposes clearance-boosting regimens with predicted load reduction.

Once a benchmark exists, an AI4Science agent can iterate solutions against it — every verified solution earns PWM.

⚛ View the machine-readable principle (L1-905) → ← All grand hard problems

This is a frontier framing page — an open problem, not yet benchmarked or verified, unlike PWM's mature computational-imaging benchmarks.